Global stock markets faced an air pocket on Monday, leading investors to rely on the "Sahm rule," a highly accurate recession indicator, to assess whether the U.S. economy is in recession. The Sahm ...
Sahm was the economist who introduced the so-called Sahm Rule in 2019. It states that the initial phase of a recession has started when the three-month moving average of the U.S. unemployment rate is ...
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Claudia Sahm now sees Fed rate hike as the ‘appropriate policy,’ says she’s ‘no longer confident’ inflation will return to 2%
Former Federal Reserve economist Claudia Sahm views a rate hike as the “appropriate policy” for the Fed’s meeting next week, ...
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There's a new recession indicator that's making waves, and it says there's a 40% probability the US is already in a recession. The economists Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez recently released the ...
Claudia Sahm, the economist who invented the Sahm Rule, has contradicted claims of a recession in the U.S. economy. This comes amid mounting fears of a recession due to recent market instability. What ...
Even economist Claudia Sahm admits that her namesake recession indicator isn’t always a guarantee that the economy is headed toward a downturn. Sahm, an economist who previously worked at the Federal ...
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